Forecasting COVID-19 activity in Australia to support pandemic response: May to October 2020

As of January 2021, Australia had effectively controlled local transmission of COVID-19 despite a steady influx of imported cases and several local, but contained, outbreaks in 2020. Throughout 2020, state and territory public health responses were informed by weekly situational reports that included an ensemble forecast of daily COVID-19 cases for each jurisdiction.

Citation:
Moss R, Price DJ, Golding N, Dawson P, McVernon J et al. Forecasting COVID-19 activity in Australia to support pandemic response: May to October 2020. Sci Rep. 2023;13(1)

Keywords:
Covid-19; disease outbreaks; forecasting; pandemics; incidents

Abstract:
As of January 2021, Australia had effectively controlled local transmission of COVID-19 despite a steady influx of imported cases and several local, but contained, outbreaks in 2020. Throughout 2020, state and territory public health responses were informed by weekly situational reports that included an ensemble forecast of daily COVID-19 cases for each jurisdiction.